Reduction of Working Time: Does it Decrease Unemployment?
Content
Over and again, the reduction of working time is praised as the instrument against
unemployment in Europe. While the first round argument appears obvious – less work for
some will create more work for others – second round repercussions, such as consequential
labor cost increases, put doubt on the validity of the argument. As frequently, empirical
evidence would be helpful to shed light on this important debate.
This paper reviews the theoretical arguments and the empirical evidence on the effects
of reduced weekly working time on unemployment. Given the prominence in the European
popular discussion, the scientific literature is astoundingly thin on the topic.
The main findings can be summarized as follows: There are theoretical arguments that
can form the basis for a positive effect on employment in response to a reduction in working
time. However, they rest on strong assumptions that appear counterfactual. Econometric
studies show little or negative effects on employment in Germany. Only a set of simulation
studies predicts a positive employment effect – but again, they appear to rest on
counterfactual assumptions. Hence, while the reduction of work hours may have increased
workers’ utility – a legitimate goal of the unions – it does not appear to be justified as a cure against unemployment.
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